Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Côte d'Ivoire
77.8% win probability
Predicted winner
15.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.48 - 2.23
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

Curaçao

1421#82
CONCACAF
VS

Côte d'Ivoire

1545#17
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

6.4% 15.8% 77.8%
CUW
CIV
124
Rating Gap
0.48
Exp. Goals CUW
2.23
Exp. Goals CIV
22.2%
CUW No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 2W/7W

Côte d'Ivoire won 7 of their last 10 games; Curaçao won 2. Current form favours Côte d'Ivoire.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 124 pts

Côte d'Ivoire hold a 124-point rating edge: roughly 18.6% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Clean Sheet Rate 14pp

Côte d'Ivoire keep 43.7% clean sheets vs Curaçao's 29.8%, a 14pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.32 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

Tournament Pedigree 2019

Curaçao have a major tournament title to their name; Côte d'Ivoire do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
CUW Win
0
Draws
1
CIV Win
0
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
109
Games Played
145
43.1%
Win %
51.7%
1.97
Goals Per Game
1.49
1.23
Goals Against / Game
0.82
33.0%
Clean Sheet %
42.8%
30.3%
Failed to Score %
29.7%
10.1%
Goalless Draws %
13.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,421
Current Rating
1,545
#82
World Ranking
#17
51.0%
Win as Favourite
54.3%
24.6%
Win as Underdog
38.8%
5
Longest Win Streak
7
7
Longest Unbeaten Run
26
1480 (2025)
Peak Rating
1583 (2013)
2W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
11W-8L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

6.4% 15.8% 77.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 25 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 2
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
16.6%
0 - 1
14.9%
0 - 3
12.4%
1 - 2
7.9%
1 - 1
7.1%
0 - 4
6.9%