Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Cabo Verde
46.3% win probability
Predicted winner
27.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.37 - 0.96
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.3
Over 2.5: 41%
Total goals

Cabo Verde

1480#38
CAF
VS

Serbia

1427#72
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

46.3% 27.4% 26.2%
CPV
SRB
53
Rating Gap
1.37
Exp. Goals CPV
0.96
Exp. Goals SRB
73.7%
CPV No Defeat
2.3
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 3W/4W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Cabo Verde 3/10, Serbia 4/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Goalless Draw Risk 14% 0-0

13.6% of Cabo Verde's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Rating Gap 53 pts

Cabo Verde hold a 53-point rating edge: roughly 7.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 23% W

Serbia have won 23% of games entering as underdogs (21W from 90). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.3 xG

Combined avg of 2.71 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.3 (Over 2.5 probability: 41%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

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Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
CPV Win
0
Draws
0
SRB Win
3
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
93
Games Played
115
40.9%
Win %
46.1%
1.15
Goals Per Game
1.54
1.01
Goals Against / Game
1.19
38.7%
Clean Sheet %
30.4%
36.6%
Failed to Score %
26.1%
12.9%
Goalless Draws %
7.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,480
Current Rating
1,427
#38
World Ranking
#72
54.7%
Win as Favourite
60.3%
26.1%
Win as Underdog
23.3%
3
Longest Win Streak
5
11
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1489 (2024)
Peak Rating
1537 (2022)
2W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

46.3% 27.4% 26.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 May 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.8%
0 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
9.2%
2 - 1
8.8%