Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Saudi Arabia
36.2% win probability
Predicted winner
29.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.10 - 1.12
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.2
Over 2.5: 38%
Total goals

Cabo Verde

1479#36
CAF
VS

Saudi Arabia

1457#53
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

34.8% 29.0% 36.2%
CPV
KSA
22
Rating Gap
1.10
Exp. Goals CPV
1.12
Exp. Goals KSA
63.8%
CPV No Defeat
2.2
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 3W/1W

Cabo Verde won 3 of their last 10 games; Saudi Arabia won 1. Current form favours Cabo Verde.

Tournament Pedigree 2005

Saudi Arabia have a major tournament title to their name; Cabo Verde do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goalless Draw Risk 14% 0-0

14.4% of Cabo Verde's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Unbeaten Run 19 games

Saudi Arabia's longest unbeaten run is 19 games vs Cabo Verde's 11. Saudi Arabia have shown greater resilience historically.

Goal Patterns 2.2 xG

Combined avg of 2.72 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.2 (Over 2.5 probability: 38%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
CPV Win
1
Draws
0
KSA Win
0
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
94
Games Played
172
40.4%
Win %
44.2%
1.14
Goals Per Game
1.35
1.00
Goals Against / Game
1.00
39.4%
Clean Sheet %
43.0%
37.2%
Failed to Score %
29.7%
13.8%
Goalless Draws %
11.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,479
Current Rating
1,457
#36
World Ranking
#53
53.8%
Win as Favourite
55.6%
26.1%
Win as Underdog
27.1%
3
Longest Win Streak
11
11
Longest Unbeaten Run
19
1489 (2024)
Peak Rating
1577 (2002)
2W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
7W-5L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

34.8% 29.0% 36.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 26 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
11.9%
0 - 0
10.9%
1 - 2
7.5%
2 - 1
7.3%