Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Cabo Verde
67.4% win probability
Predicted winner
20.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.92 - 0.66
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 48%
Total goals

Cabo Verde

1463#55
CAF
VS

Finland

1375#130
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

67.4% 20.7% 12.0%
CPV
FIN
88
Rating Gap
1.92
Exp. Goals CPV
0.66
Exp. Goals FIN
88.1%
CPV No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 16pp

Cabo Verde keep 36.8% clean sheets vs Finland's 20.5%, a 16pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Rating Gap 88 pts

Cabo Verde hold a 88-point rating edge: roughly 13.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Tournament Pedigree 2000

Finland have a major tournament title to their name; Cabo Verde do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

13.2% of Cabo Verde's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Underdog Record 17% W

Finland have won 17% of games entering as underdogs (104W from 612). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
CPV Win
1
Draws
0
FIN Win
1
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
89
Games Played
112
40.4%
Win %
36.6%
1.11
Goals Per Game
1.11
1.03
Goals Against / Game
1.29
37.1%
Clean Sheet %
32.1%
37.1%
Failed to Score %
33.0%
12.4%
Goalless Draws %
1.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,463
Current Rating
1,375
#55
World Ranking
#130
54.1%
Win as Favourite
54.9%
26.7%
Win as Underdog
17.0%
3
Longest Win Streak
5
11
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1489 (2024)
Peak Rating
1468 (2002)
2W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

67.4% 20.7% 12.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 30 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 0
8.9%
0 - 0
7.6%