Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Cabo Verde
87.1% win probability
Predicted winner
11.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.42 - 0.19
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 48%
Total goals

Cabo Verde

1480#38
CAF
VS

Bermuda

1321#170
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

87.1% 11.1% 1.9%
CPV
BER
159
Rating Gap
2.42
Exp. Goals CPV
0.19
Exp. Goals BER
98.2%
CPV No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 159 pts

Cabo Verde hold a 159-point rating edge: roughly 23.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 12pp

Cabo Verde keep 38.2% clean sheets vs Bermuda's 26.3%, a 12pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 3W/2W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Cabo Verde 3/10, Bermuda 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2013

Bermuda have a major tournament title to their name; Cabo Verde do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goalless Draw Risk 14% 0-0

13.6% of Cabo Verde's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
CPV Win
0
Draws
0
BER Win
3
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
93
Games Played
83
40.9%
Win %
30.1%
1.15
Goals Per Game
1.61
1.01
Goals Against / Game
2.14
38.7%
Clean Sheet %
22.9%
36.6%
Failed to Score %
27.7%
12.9%
Goalless Draws %
6.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,480
Current Rating
1,321
#38
World Ranking
#170
54.7%
Win as Favourite
51.0%
26.1%
Win as Underdog
20.2%
3
Longest Win Streak
4
11
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1489 (2024)
Peak Rating
1456 (2015)
2W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

87.1% 11.1% 1.9%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 06 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
21.6%
1 - 0
17.8%
3 - 0
17.4%
4 - 0
10.6%
0 - 0
7.4%
5 - 0
5.1%