Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Colombia
46.5% win probability
Predicted winner
28.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.31 - 0.89
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.2
Over 2.5: 38%
Total goals

Colombia

1553#14
CONMEBOL
VS

Jordan

1502#36
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

46.5% 28.3% 25.3%
COL
JOR
50
Rating Gap
1.31
Exp. Goals COL
0.89
Exp. Goals JOR
74.8%
COL No Defeat
2.2
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 7W/5W

Colombia won 7 of their last 10 games; Jordan won 5. Current form favours Colombia.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

12.7% of Jordan's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Tournament Pedigree 2001

Both teams are major tournament winners. Colombia's most recent title: 2001. Jordan's most recent title: 1999.

Rating Gap 50 pts

Colombia hold a 50-point rating edge: roughly 7.6% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 27% W

Jordan have won 27% of games entering as underdogs (68W from 249). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2014-2026

2
COL Win
0
Draws
0
JOR Win
5
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
124
Games Played
157
50.8%
Win %
43.9%
1.54
Goals Per Game
1.59
0.87
Goals Against / Game
1.05
48.4%
Clean Sheet %
43.9%
25.0%
Failed to Score %
29.9%
16.1%
Goalless Draws %
13.4%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,553
Current Rating
1,502
#14
World Ranking
#36
51.0%
Win as Favourite
46.7%
29.4%
Win as Underdog
27.3%
10
Longest Win Streak
5
28
Longest Unbeaten Run
14
1604 (2024)
Peak Rating
1545 (2004)
7W-5L
Penalty Shootouts
4W-6L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

46.5% 28.3% 25.3%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 07 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 0
Friendly
H 06 Jun 14 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.1%
0 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
8.5%