Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Congo Democratic Republic
44.6% win probability
Predicted winner
27.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.36 - 1.02
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 43%
Total goals
VS

Jamaica

1472#45
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

44.6% 27.3% 28.1%
COD
JAM
47
Rating Gap
1.36
Exp. Goals COD
1.02
Exp. Goals JAM
71.9%
COD No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Tournament Pedigree 2015

Both teams are major tournament winners. Congo Democratic Republic's most recent title: 2015. Jamaica's most recent title: 2014.

Underdog Record 24% W

Jamaica have won 24% of games entering as underdogs (80W from 336). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 23 games

Jamaica's longest unbeaten run is 23 games vs Congo Democratic Republic's 12. Jamaica have shown greater resilience historically.

Rating Gap 47 pts

Congo Democratic Republic hold a 47-point rating edge: roughly 7.1% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 2.67 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 43%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
COD Win
0
Draws
0
JAM Win
1
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
137
Games Played
160
43.1%
Win %
44.4%
1.33
Goals Per Game
1.56
0.89
Goals Against / Game
1.16
38.0%
Clean Sheet %
33.8%
25.5%
Failed to Score %
24.4%
8.8%
Goalless Draws %
5.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,519
Current Rating
1,472
#26
World Ranking
#45
51.3%
Win as Favourite
53.3%
21.7%
Win as Underdog
23.8%
5
Longest Win Streak
7
12
Longest Unbeaten Run
23
1529 (2026)
Peak Rating
1530 (2011)
5W-5L
Penalty Shootouts
5W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

44.6% 27.3% 28.1%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
9.4%
0 - 0
9.2%
2 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
8.6%