Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Denmark
41.0% win probability
Predicted winner
25.9%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.25 - 1.42
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Total goals
VS

Denmark

1516#29
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

33.1% 25.9% 41.0%
COD
DEN
8
Rating Gap
1.25
Exp. Goals COD
1.42
Exp. Goals DEN
59.0%
COD No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 4W/5W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Congo Democratic Republic 4/10, Denmark 5/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.13 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).

Tournament Pedigree 2015

Both teams are major tournament winners. Congo Democratic Republic's most recent title: 2015. Denmark's most recent title: 2010.

Penalty Shootouts 50% PSO

Shootout record: Congo Democratic Republic: 5W-5L; Denmark: 3W-4L. Records are closely matched, no clear edge.

Rating Gap 8 pts

Denmark hold a 8-point rating edge: roughly 1.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
COD Win
1
Draws
0
DEN Win
0
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
139
Games Played
119
42.4%
Win %
52.9%
1.32
Goals Per Game
1.88
0.89
Goals Against / Game
0.83
37.4%
Clean Sheet %
47.9%
25.9%
Failed to Score %
22.7%
8.6%
Goalless Draws %
12.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,508
Current Rating
1,516
#33
World Ranking
#29
51.0%
Win as Favourite
57.4%
21.6%
Win as Underdog
28.9%
5
Longest Win Streak
13
12
Longest Unbeaten Run
15
1529 (2026)
Peak Rating
1574 (2021)
5W-5L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

33.1% 25.9% 41.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 03 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 0
8.7%
2 - 1
7.7%
0 - 2
7.0%