Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Congo Democratic Republic
65.3% win probability
Predicted winner
21.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.89 - 0.72
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 48%
Total goals
VS

Chile

1424#79
CONMEBOL
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

65.3% 21.3% 13.4%
COD
CHI
96
Rating Gap
1.89
Exp. Goals COD
0.72
Exp. Goals CHI
86.6%
COD No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 96 pts

Congo Democratic Republic hold a 96-point rating edge: roughly 14.3% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Tournament Pedigree 2016

Both teams are major tournament winners. Congo Democratic Republic's most recent title: 2015. Chile's most recent title: 2016.

Underdog Record 27% W

Chile have won 27% of games entering as underdogs (131W from 484). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 2.72 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 48%).

When Favourite 51% W

Congo Democratic Republic win 51% of games when entering as the favoured side (99W from 193). Reliable frontrunners.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
COD Win
0
Draws
1
CHI Win
1
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
137
Games Played
124
43.1%
Win %
33.1%
1.33
Goals Per Game
1.22
0.89
Goals Against / Game
1.23
38.0%
Clean Sheet %
32.3%
25.5%
Failed to Score %
40.3%
8.8%
Goalless Draws %
16.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,519
Current Rating
1,424
#26
World Ranking
#79
51.3%
Win as Favourite
51.4%
21.7%
Win as Underdog
27.1%
5
Longest Win Streak
5
12
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1529 (2026)
Peak Rating
1574 (2015)
5W-5L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

65.3% 21.3% 13.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 09 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
13.9%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
3 - 0
8.3%
0 - 0
7.4%