Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Cameroon
52.0% win probability
Predicted winner
26.2%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.49 - 0.86
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 42%
Total goals

Cameroon

1490#38
CAF
VS

China PR

1415#90
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

52.0% 26.2% 21.7%
CMR
CHN
75
Rating Gap
1.49
Exp. Goals CMR
0.86
Exp. Goals CHN
78.2%
CMR No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 5W/4W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Cameroon 5/10, China PR 4/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

13.2% of Cameroon's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Rating Gap 75 pts

Cameroon hold a 75-point rating edge: roughly 11.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 3.16 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 42%).

Tournament Pedigree 2015

Both teams are major tournament winners. Cameroon's most recent title: 2015. China PR's most recent title: 2009.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
CMR Win
0
Draws
0
CHN Win
2
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
144
Games Played
119
40.3%
Win %
38.7%
1.16
Goals Per Game
1.47
0.87
Goals Against / Game
1.18
41.7%
Clean Sheet %
35.3%
31.9%
Failed to Score %
37.0%
15.3%
Goalless Draws %
9.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,490
Current Rating
1,415
#38
World Ranking
#90
49.7%
Win as Favourite
58.6%
28.7%
Win as Underdog
25.2%
7
Longest Win Streak
7
16
Longest Unbeaten Run
19
1575 (2002)
Peak Rating
1579 (2001)
9W-13L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-6L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

52.0% 26.2% 21.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 0
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
10.6%
0 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
0 - 1
8.2%