Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Côte d'Ivoire
50.8% win probability
Predicted winner
25.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.56 - 0.98
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 47%
Total goals

Côte d'Ivoire

1531#21
CAF
VS

Scotland

1481#40
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

50.8% 25.4% 23.7%
CIV
SCO
49
Rating Gap
1.56
Exp. Goals CIV
0.98
Exp. Goals SCO
76.2%
CIV No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 12pp

Côte d'Ivoire keep 43.7% clean sheets vs Scotland's 31.9%, a 12pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 3.27 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 47%).

Tournament Pedigree 1981

Scotland have a major tournament title to their name; Côte d'Ivoire do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Win Streak 3 games

Scotland are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Underdog Record 28% W

Scotland have won 28% of games entering as underdogs (102W from 360). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
CIV Win
0
Draws
0
SCO Win
1
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
141
Games Played
107
51.1%
Win %
44.9%
1.49
Goals Per Game
1.41
0.82
Goals Against / Game
1.28
42.6%
Clean Sheet %
35.5%
30.5%
Failed to Score %
28.0%
13.5%
Goalless Draws %
4.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,531
Current Rating
1,481
#21
World Ranking
#40
53.9%
Win as Favourite
61.1%
39.0%
Win as Underdog
28.3%
7
Longest Win Streak
13
26
Longest Unbeaten Run
22
1583 (2013)
Peak Rating
1510 (1977)
11W-8L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

50.8% 25.4% 23.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.4%
0 - 0
7.9%
0 - 1
7.7%