Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

China PR
39.9% win probability
Predicted winner
25.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.43 - 1.31
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

China PR

1415#90
AFC
VS

Curaçao

1430#69
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

39.9% 25.6% 34.5%
CHN
CUW
15
Rating Gap
1.43
Exp. Goals CHN
1.31
Exp. Goals CUW
65.5%
CHN No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.54 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

Clean Sheet Rate 10pp

China PR keep 39.0% clean sheets vs Curaçao's 29.4%, a 10pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2019

Both teams are major tournament winners. China PR's most recent title: 2009. Curaçao's most recent title: 2019.

Unbeaten Run 19 games

China PR's longest unbeaten run is 19 games vs Curaçao's 7. China PR have shown greater resilience historically.

Penalty Shootouts 50% PSO

Shootout record: China PR: 6W-6L; Curaçao: 2W-2L. Records are closely matched, no clear edge.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
CHN Win
0
Draws
0
CUW Win
2
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
119
Games Played
107
38.7%
Win %
43.9%
1.47
Goals Per Game
2.01
1.18
Goals Against / Game
1.23
35.3%
Clean Sheet %
32.7%
37.0%
Failed to Score %
29.0%
9.2%
Goalless Draws %
9.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,415
Current Rating
1,430
#90
World Ranking
#69
58.6%
Win as Favourite
51.0%
25.2%
Win as Underdog
25.4%
7
Longest Win Streak
5
19
Longest Unbeaten Run
7
1579 (2001)
Peak Rating
1480 (2025)
6W-6L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

39.9% 25.6% 34.5%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 27 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 0
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.3%
2 - 1
8.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.9%
2 - 0
6.6%