Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Cabo Verde
46.2% win probability
Predicted winner
26.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.02 - 1.42
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 44%
Total goals

Chile

1424#79
CONMEBOL
VS

Cabo Verde

1463#53
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

27.1% 26.7% 46.2%
CHI
CPV
40
Rating Gap
1.02
Exp. Goals CHI
1.42
Exp. Goals CPV
53.8%
CHI No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 9pp

Cabo Verde keep 36.8% clean sheets vs Chile's 27.7%, a 9pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 5W/4W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Chile 5/10, Cabo Verde 4/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2016

Chile have a major tournament title to their name; Cabo Verde do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

13.2% of Cabo Verde's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Underdog Record 27% W

Chile have won 27% of games entering as underdogs (131W from 484). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
CHI Win
0
Draws
0
CPV Win
4
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
124
Games Played
89
33.1%
Win %
40.4%
1.22
Goals Per Game
1.11
1.23
Goals Against / Game
1.03
32.3%
Clean Sheet %
37.1%
40.3%
Failed to Score %
37.1%
16.1%
Goalless Draws %
12.4%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,424
Current Rating
1,463
#79
World Ranking
#53
51.4%
Win as Favourite
54.1%
27.1%
Win as Underdog
26.7%
5
Longest Win Streak
3
11
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1574 (2015)
Peak Rating
1489 (2024)
6W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

27.1% 26.7% 46.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 27 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
4 - 2
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 0
8.9%
0 - 2
8.8%
0 - 0
8.7%