Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Canada
71.4% win probability
Predicted winner
19.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.94 - 0.52
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 44%
Total goals

Canada

1524#22
CONCACAF
VS
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

71.4% 19.6% 9.0%
CAN
BIH
117
Rating Gap
1.94
Exp. Goals CAN
0.52
Exp. Goals BIH
91.0%
CAN No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 117 pts

Canada hold a 117-point rating edge: roughly 17.6% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 3W/2W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Canada 3/10, Bosnia and Herzegovina 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 1999

Canada have a major tournament title to their name; Bosnia and Herzegovina do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 20% W

Bosnia and Herzegovina have won 20% of games entering as underdogs (32W from 158). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 15 games

Canada's longest unbeaten run is 15 games vs Bosnia and Herzegovina's 9. Canada have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
CAN Win
1
Draws
0
BIH Win
1
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
129
Games Played
101
55.0%
Win %
32.7%
2.05
Goals Per Game
1.27
0.95
Goals Against / Game
1.35
44.2%
Clean Sheet %
31.7%
21.7%
Failed to Score %
32.7%
7.8%
Goalless Draws %
10.9%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,524
Current Rating
1,407
#22
World Ranking
#99
50.0%
Win as Favourite
58.1%
29.1%
Win as Underdog
20.3%
8
Longest Win Streak
5
15
Longest Unbeaten Run
9
1600 (2022)
Peak Rating
1511 (2013)
3W-6L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

71.4% 19.6% 9.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 12 Jun 26 AWAY
1 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
10.4%
1 - 1
8.6%
0 - 0
8.6%
2 - 1
8.3%