Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Cambodia
61.1% win probability
Predicted winner
22.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.87 - 0.86
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Total goals

Cambodia

1332#164
AFC
VS

Bhutan

1258#210
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

61.1% 22.1% 16.8%
CAM
BHU
74
Rating Gap
1.87
Exp. Goals CAM
0.86
Exp. Goals BHU
83.2%
CAM No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 1.65 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 52%).

Recent Form 3W/1W

Cambodia won 3 of their last 10 games; Bhutan won 1. Current form favours Cambodia.

Tournament Pedigree 2002

Bhutan have a major tournament title to their name; Cambodia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Gap 74 pts

Cambodia hold a 74-point rating edge: roughly 11.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 8% W

Bhutan have won 8% of games entering as underdogs (8W from 103). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2015-2026

2
CAM Win
0
Draws
0
BHU Win
6
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
99
Games Played
45
26.3%
Win %
17.8%
1.13
Goals Per Game
0.62
2.47
Goals Against / Game
3.20
17.2%
Clean Sheet %
17.8%
37.4%
Failed to Score %
55.6%
3.0%
Goalless Draws %
4.4%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,332
Current Rating
1,258
#164
World Ranking
#210
46.8%
Win as Favourite
30.0%
14.2%
Win as Underdog
7.8%
4
Longest Win Streak
2
4
Longest Unbeaten Run
2
1383 (1995)
Peak Rating
1358 (1999)
0W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

61.1% 22.1% 16.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 04 Jun 26 AWAY
4 - 0
Friendly
H 20 Aug 15 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
3 - 0
7.1%
0 - 0
6.5%