Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Brazil
58.3% win probability
Predicted winner
23.2%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.77 - 0.89
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Total goals

Brazil

1560#12
CONMEBOL
VS

Panama

1517#28
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

58.3% 23.2% 18.6%
BRA
PAN
43
Rating Gap
1.77
Exp. Goals BRA
0.89
Exp. Goals PAN
81.5%
BRA No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 5W-0W

Brazil hold the historical edge: 5W-1D-0L across 6 meetings.

Clean Sheet Rate 16pp

Brazil keep 45.0% clean sheets vs Panama's 28.7%, a 16pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

When Favourite 65% W

Brazil win 65% of games when entering as the favoured side (623W from 952). Reliable frontrunners.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.42 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).

Recent Form 5W/4W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Brazil 5/10, Panama 4/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2019

Both teams are major tournament winners. Brazil's most recent title: 2019. Panama's most recent title: 2009.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

6 meeting(s) · 1952-2026

5
BRA Win
1
Draws
0
PAN Win
23
Goals For
3
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
125
Games Played
174
63.2%
Win %
42.0%
2.03
Goals Per Game
1.40
0.63
Goals Against / Game
1.29
53.6%
Clean Sheet %
33.3%
16.0%
Failed to Score %
32.8%
8.0%
Goalless Draws %
8.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,560
Current Rating
1,517
#12
World Ranking
#28
65.4%
Win as Favourite
52.6%
41.8%
Win as Underdog
23.2%
14
Longest Win Streak
5
36
Longest Unbeaten Run
13
1673 (1997)
Peak Rating
1536 (2025)
8W-8L
Penalty Shootouts
7W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

58.3% 23.2% 18.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 May 26 AWAY
6 - 2
Friendly
D 23 Mar 19 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
Friendly
A 29 May 16 NEUTRAL
0 - 2
Friendly
H 03 Jun 14 AWAY
4 - 0
Friendly
H 09 Aug 01 AWAY
5 - 0
Friendly
H 13 Apr 52 NEUTRAL
5 - 0
Panamerican Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
0 - 0
7.0%
3 - 0
6.5%