Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Morocco
52.4% win probability
Predicted winner
26.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.86 - 1.50
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 42%
Total goals

Brazil

1547#13
CONMEBOL
VS

Morocco

1623#2
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

21.5% 26.1% 52.4%
BRA
MAR
76
Rating Gap
0.86
Exp. Goals BRA
1.50
Exp. Goals MAR
47.6%
BRA No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Underdog Record 42% W

Brazil have won 42% of games entering as underdogs (46W from 109). A strong record against the odds.

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 3.71 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 42%).

Rating Gap 76 pts

Morocco hold a 76-point rating edge: roughly 11.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 5W/6W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Brazil 5/10, Morocco 6/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

13.3% of Morocco's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 1997-2023

2
BRA Win
0
Draws
1
MAR Win
6
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
122
Games Played
171
63.1%
Win %
66.7%
2.01
Goals Per Game
1.81
0.61
Goals Against / Game
0.53
54.9%
Clean Sheet %
58.5%
16.4%
Failed to Score %
19.9%
8.2%
Goalless Draws %
11.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,547
Current Rating
1,623
#13
World Ranking
#2
65.4%
Win as Favourite
56.8%
42.2%
Win as Underdog
34.7%
14
Longest Win Streak
13
36
Longest Unbeaten Run
34
1673 (1997)
Peak Rating
1632 (2026)
8W-8L
Penalty Shootouts
7W-9L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

21.5% 26.1% 52.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 25 Mar 23 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly
H 16 Jun 98 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
FIFA World Cup
H 09 Oct 97 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
10.6%
0 - 0
9.4%
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 0
8.1%