Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Brazil
85.3% win probability
Predicted winner
11.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.53 - 0.33
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Total goals

Brazil

1588#8
CONMEBOL
VS

Haiti

1447#62
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

85.3% 11.5% 3.2%
BRA
HAI
141
Rating Gap
2.53
Exp. Goals BRA
0.33
Exp. Goals HAI
96.8%
BRA No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 6W/3W

Brazil won 6 of their last 10 games; Haiti won 3. Current form favours Brazil.

Rating Gap 141 pts

Brazil hold a 141-point rating edge: roughly 21.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 4 games

Only 4 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 3.82 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 54%).

Clean Sheet Rate 14pp

Brazil keep 45.1% clean sheets vs Haiti's 31.5%, a 14pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

When Favourite 66% W

Brazil win 66% of games when entering as the favoured side (625W from 954). Reliable frontrunners.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

4 meeting(s) · 1974-2026

4
BRA Win
0
Draws
0
HAI Win
20
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
127
Games Played
112
63.8%
Win %
49.1%
2.05
Goals Per Game
2.19
0.62
Goals Against / Game
1.39
54.3%
Clean Sheet %
29.5%
15.7%
Failed to Score %
22.3%
7.9%
Goalless Draws %
5.4%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,588
Current Rating
1,447
#8
World Ranking
#62
65.5%
Win as Favourite
53.1%
41.8%
Win as Underdog
24.7%
14
Longest Win Streak
10
36
Longest Unbeaten Run
21
1673 (1997)
Peak Rating
1517 (2025)
8W-8L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

85.3% 11.5% 3.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 19 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
FIFA World Cup
H 08 Jun 16 NEUTRAL
7 - 1
Copa América
A 18 Aug 04 AWAY
0 - 6
Friendly
H 21 Apr 74 AWAY
4 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
18.4%
3 - 0
15.5%
1 - 0
14.5%
4 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
6.0%
0 - 0
5.7%