Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

France
37.8% win probability
Predicted winner
26.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.26 - 1.31
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 47%
Total goals

Brazil

1560#12
CONMEBOL
VS

France

1585#5
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

35.6% 26.6% 37.8%
BRA
FRA
25
Rating Gap
1.26
Exp. Goals BRA
1.31
Exp. Goals FRA
62.2%
BRA No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/8W

France won 8 of their last 10 games; Brazil won 5. Current form favours France.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 3.97 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 47%).

Balanced Rivalry Tight

The 17-meeting rivalry is exceptionally balanced: 7W for Brazil, 6W for France, 4 draws. Never count either side out.

Clean Sheet Rate 9pp

Brazil keep 45.0% clean sheets vs France's 35.7%, a 9pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2020

Both teams are major tournament winners. Brazil's most recent title: 2019. France's most recent title: 2020.

Unbeaten Run 36 games

Brazil's longest unbeaten run is 36 games vs France's 30. Brazil have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

17 meeting(s) · 1992-2026

7
BRA Win
4
Draws
6
FRA Win
28
Goals For
22
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
125
Games Played
136
63.2%
Win %
66.9%
2.03
Goals Per Game
2.13
0.63
Goals Against / Game
0.88
53.6%
Clean Sheet %
42.6%
16.0%
Failed to Score %
15.4%
8.0%
Goalless Draws %
8.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,560
Current Rating
1,585
#12
World Ranking
#5
65.4%
Win as Favourite
59.6%
41.8%
Win as Underdog
33.7%
14
Longest Win Streak
14
36
Longest Unbeaten Run
30
1673 (1997)
Peak Rating
1651 (2018)
8W-8L
Penalty Shootouts
4W-8L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

35.6% 26.6% 37.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 26 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 2
Friendly
A 26 Mar 15 AWAY
1 - 3
Friendly
H 09 Jun 13 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly
H 09 Feb 11 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly
A 01 Jul 06 NEUTRAL
0 - 1
FIFA World Cup
D 20 May 04 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly
H 07 Jun 01 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
FIFA Confederations Cup
H 12 Jul 98 AWAY
3 - 0
FIFA World Cup
D 03 Jun 97 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly Tournament
A 26 Aug 92 AWAY
0 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 0
9.7%
1 - 2
8.3%
2 - 1
8.0%
0 - 0
7.7%