Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Brazil
47.3% win probability
Predicted winner
26.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.45 - 1.01
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 45%
Total goals

Brazil

1560#12
CONMEBOL
VS

Egypt

1517#29
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

47.3% 26.5% 26.2%
BRA
EGY
43
Rating Gap
1.45
Exp. Goals BRA
1.01
Exp. Goals EGY
73.8%
BRA No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 3.83 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 45%).

When Favourite 65% W

Brazil win 65% of games when entering as the favoured side (623W from 952). Reliable frontrunners.

Tournament Pedigree 2019

Both teams are major tournament winners. Brazil's most recent title: 2019. Egypt's most recent title: 2008.

Underdog Record 30% W

Egypt have won 30% of games entering as underdogs (51W from 173). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 36 games

Brazil's longest unbeaten run is 36 games vs Egypt's 19. Brazil have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 2009-2026

3
BRA Win
0
Draws
0
EGY Win
8
Goals For
4
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
125
Games Played
135
63.2%
Win %
54.1%
2.03
Goals Per Game
1.42
0.63
Goals Against / Game
0.74
53.6%
Clean Sheet %
50.4%
16.0%
Failed to Score %
20.0%
8.0%
Goalless Draws %
8.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,560
Current Rating
1,517
#12
World Ranking
#29
65.4%
Win as Favourite
57.0%
41.8%
Win as Underdog
29.5%
14
Longest Win Streak
9
36
Longest Unbeaten Run
19
1673 (1997)
Peak Rating
1600 (2010)
8W-8L
Penalty Shootouts
13W-11L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

47.3% 26.5% 26.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 06 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
Friendly
H 14 Nov 11 NEUTRAL
2 - 0
Friendly
H 15 Jun 09 NEUTRAL
4 - 3
FIFA Confederations Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
2 - 0
9.0%
0 - 1
8.6%
0 - 0
8.6%