Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Trinidad & Tobago
51.0% win probability
Predicted winner
24.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.09 - 1.67
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Total goals

Bolivia

1380#126
CONMEBOL
VS

Trinidad & Tobago

1389#112
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

24.7% 24.3% 51.0%
BOL
TRI
9
Rating Gap
1.09
Exp. Goals BOL
1.67
Exp. Goals TRI
49.0%
BOL No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 12pp

Trinidad & Tobago keep 31.7% clean sheets vs Bolivia's 20.1%, a 12pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 3W/1W

Bolivia won 3 of their last 10 games; Trinidad & Tobago won 1. Current form favours Bolivia.

Tournament Pedigree 2001

Both teams are major tournament winners. Bolivia's most recent title: 1963. Trinidad & Tobago's most recent title: 2001.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 2.71 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 52%).

Penalty Shootouts 67% PSO

Shootout record: Bolivia: 2W-1L; Trinidad & Tobago: 6W-4L. Records are closely matched, no clear edge.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2022-2026

2
BOL Win
0
Draws
0
TRI Win
8
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
109
Games Played
140
22.9%
Win %
31.4%
0.93
Goals Per Game
1.48
1.91
Goals Against / Game
1.65
23.9%
Clean Sheet %
25.7%
44.0%
Failed to Score %
33.6%
6.4%
Goalless Draws %
6.4%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,380
Current Rating
1,389
#126
World Ranking
#112
39.4%
Win as Favourite
51.1%
20.3%
Win as Underdog
26.5%
5
Longest Win Streak
8
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1476 (1997)
Peak Rating
1547 (1996)
2W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

24.7% 24.3% 51.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 15 Mar 26 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly
H 21 Jan 22 AWAY
5 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 2
8.8%
1 - 0
6.9%
0 - 0
6.3%