Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Suriname
58.6% win probability
Predicted winner
22.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.97 - 1.87
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 54%
Total goals

Bolivia

1380#126
CONMEBOL
VS

Suriname

1427#77
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

19.1% 22.3% 58.6%
BOL
SUR
47
Rating Gap
0.97
Exp. Goals BOL
1.87
Exp. Goals SUR
41.4%
BOL No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 10pp

Suriname keep 29.8% clean sheets vs Bolivia's 20.1%, a 10pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 3W/2W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Bolivia 3/10, Suriname 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 1978

Both teams are major tournament winners. Bolivia's most recent title: 1963. Suriname's most recent title: 1978.

Underdog Record 20% W

Bolivia have won 20% of games entering as underdogs (96W from 472). A strong record against the odds.

Rating Gap 47 pts

Suriname hold a 47-point rating edge: roughly 7.0% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
BOL Win
0
Draws
0
SUR Win
2
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
109
Games Played
93
22.9%
Win %
44.1%
0.93
Goals Per Game
1.71
1.91
Goals Against / Game
1.18
23.9%
Clean Sheet %
28.0%
44.0%
Failed to Score %
29.0%
6.4%
Goalless Draws %
7.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,380
Current Rating
1,427
#126
World Ranking
#77
39.4%
Win as Favourite
53.4%
20.3%
Win as Underdog
21.2%
5
Longest Win Streak
7
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1476 (1997)
Peak Rating
1464 (2021)
2W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-5L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

19.1% 22.3% 58.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 26 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
11.0%
1 - 1
10.6%
0 - 2
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 3
6.4%
1 - 3
6.2%