Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Scotland
81.0% win probability
Predicted winner
13.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.52 - 2.52
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 59%
Total goals

Bolivia

1369#138
CONMEBOL
VS

Scotland

1481#40
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

5.6% 13.4% 81.0%
BOL
SCO
112
Rating Gap
0.52
Exp. Goals BOL
2.52
Exp. Goals SCO
19.0%
BOL No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 2W/7W

Scotland won 7 of their last 10 games; Bolivia won 2. Current form favours Scotland.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 112 pts

Scotland hold a 112-point rating edge: roughly 16.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Clean Sheet Rate 12pp

Scotland keep 31.9% clean sheets vs Bolivia's 20.1%, a 12pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Win Streak 3 games

Scotland are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Tournament Pedigree 1981

Both teams are major tournament winners. Bolivia's most recent title: 1963. Scotland's most recent title: 1981.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
BOL Win
0
Draws
1
SCO Win
0
Goals For
4
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
111
Games Played
107
22.5%
Win %
44.9%
0.91
Goals Per Game
1.41
1.95
Goals Against / Game
1.28
23.4%
Clean Sheet %
35.5%
45.0%
Failed to Score %
28.0%
6.3%
Goalless Draws %
4.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,369
Current Rating
1,481
#138
World Ranking
#40
39.4%
Win as Favourite
61.1%
20.3%
Win as Underdog
28.3%
5
Longest Win Streak
13
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
22
1476 (1997)
Peak Rating
1510 (1977)
2W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

5.6% 13.4% 81.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 06 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 4
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
15.2%
0 - 3
12.8%
0 - 1
12.1%
0 - 4
8.1%
1 - 2
7.9%
1 - 3
6.6%