Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Algeria
95.6% win probability
Predicted winner
3.9%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.15 - 3.57
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.7
Over 2.5: 72%
Total goals

Bolivia

1369#138
CONMEBOL
VS

Algeria

1578#7
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

0.5% 3.9% 95.6%
BOL
ALG
210
Rating Gap
0.15
Exp. Goals BOL
3.57
Exp. Goals ALG
4.4%
BOL No Defeat
3.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 210 pts

Algeria hold a 210-point rating edge: roughly 31.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 2W/7W

Algeria won 7 of their last 10 games; Bolivia won 2. Current form favours Algeria.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 20pp

Algeria keep 40.2% clean sheets vs Bolivia's 20.1%, a 20pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2021

Both teams are major tournament winners. Bolivia's most recent title: 1963. Algeria's most recent title: 2021.

Underdog Record 20% W

Bolivia have won 20% of games entering as underdogs (96W from 474). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2024-2026

0
BOL Win
0
Draws
2
ALG Win
2
Goals For
7
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
111
Games Played
154
22.5%
Win %
60.4%
0.91
Goals Per Game
2.04
1.95
Goals Against / Game
0.77
23.4%
Clean Sheet %
48.7%
45.0%
Failed to Score %
14.3%
6.3%
Goalless Draws %
7.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,369
Current Rating
1,578
#138
World Ranking
#7
39.4%
Win as Favourite
52.8%
20.3%
Win as Underdog
35.5%
5
Longest Win Streak
14
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
28
1476 (1997)
Peak Rating
1604 (2022)
2W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
10W-10L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

0.5% 3.9% 95.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 11 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 4
Friendly
H 22 Mar 24 AWAY
3 - 2
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 3
18.4%
0 - 4
16.4%
0 - 2
15.4%
0 - 5
11.7%
0 - 1
8.6%
1 - 3
2.8%