Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Syria
62.1% win probability
Predicted winner
21.9%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.83 - 1.88
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

Belarus

1377#125
UEFA
VS

Syria

1451#60
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

16.0% 21.9% 62.1%
BLR
SYR
74
Rating Gap
0.83
Exp. Goals BLR
1.88
Exp. Goals SYR
37.9%
BLR No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 3W/6W

Syria won 6 of their last 10 games; Belarus won 3. Current form favours Syria.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Syria have a major tournament title to their name; Belarus do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Gap 74 pts

Syria hold a 74-point rating edge: roughly 11.0% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 23% W

Belarus have won 23% of games entering as underdogs (48W from 206). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 2.59 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2022-2026

2
BLR Win
0
Draws
0
SYR Win
5
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
106
Games Played
136
30.2%
Win %
36.8%
0.96
Goals Per Game
1.38
1.52
Goals Against / Game
1.27
34.0%
Clean Sheet %
33.1%
42.5%
Failed to Score %
30.9%
12.3%
Goalless Draws %
5.9%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,377
Current Rating
1,451
#125
World Ranking
#60
42.6%
Win as Favourite
53.2%
23.3%
Win as Underdog
21.0%
3
Longest Win Streak
6
7
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1508 (1967)
Peak Rating
1498 (2009)
1W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-6L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

16.0% 21.9% 62.1%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 05 Jun 26 AWAY
4 - 1
Friendly
A 17 Nov 22 NEUTRAL
0 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
11.8%
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 3
7.4%
0 - 0
6.7%