Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Burkina Faso
61.8% win probability
Predicted winner
23.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.73 - 1.75
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 45%
Total goals

Belarus

1377#125
UEFA
VS

Burkina Faso

1460#58
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

15.1% 23.0% 61.8%
BLR
BFA
82
Rating Gap
0.73
Exp. Goals BLR
1.75
Exp. Goals BFA
38.1%
BLR No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 82 pts

Burkina Faso hold a 82-point rating edge: roughly 12.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 3W/5W

Burkina Faso won 5 of their last 10 games; Belarus won 3. Current form favours Burkina Faso.

Underdog Record 23% W

Belarus have won 23% of games entering as underdogs (48W from 206). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 12 games

Burkina Faso's longest unbeaten run is 12 games vs Belarus's 7. Burkina Faso have shown greater resilience historically.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 2.31 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 45%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
BLR Win
1
Draws
0
BFA Win
2
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
106
Games Played
135
30.2%
Win %
42.2%
0.96
Goals Per Game
1.31
1.52
Goals Against / Game
0.99
34.0%
Clean Sheet %
38.5%
42.5%
Failed to Score %
29.6%
12.3%
Goalless Draws %
11.9%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,377
Current Rating
1,460
#125
World Ranking
#58
42.6%
Win as Favourite
48.5%
23.3%
Win as Underdog
25.4%
3
Longest Win Streak
6
7
Longest Unbeaten Run
12
1508 (1967)
Peak Rating
1492 (2024)
1W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
10W-5L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

15.1% 23.0% 61.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 09 Jun 26 AWAY
2 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
14.7%
0 - 2
12.9%
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 0
8.4%
0 - 3
7.5%