Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Bosnia and Herzegovina
42.1% win probability
Predicted winner
26.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.37 - 1.14
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 46%
Total goals
VS

Qatar

1374#129
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

42.1% 26.7% 31.2%
BIH
QAT
40
Rating Gap
1.37
Exp. Goals BIH
1.14
Exp. Goals QAT
68.8%
BIH No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 3W/1W

Bosnia and Herzegovina won 3 of their last 10 games; Qatar won 1. Current form favours Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Tournament Pedigree 2019

Qatar have a major tournament title to their name; Bosnia and Herzegovina do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Trajectory +38 pts

Bosnia and Herzegovina are gaining momentum recently (+38 pts). Qatar have moved -69 pts in the same window.

Underdog Record 27% W

Qatar have won 27% of games entering as underdogs (84W from 311). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 2.80 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 46%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 2000-2026

1
BIH Win
1
Draws
1
QAT Win
4
Goals For
4
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
103
Games Played
178
33.0%
Win %
47.8%
1.28
Goals Per Game
1.58
1.37
Goals Against / Game
1.21
31.1%
Clean Sheet %
35.4%
32.0%
Failed to Score %
23.0%
10.7%
Goalless Draws %
5.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,414
Current Rating
1,374
#92
World Ranking
#129
58.1%
Win as Favourite
53.0%
20.6%
Win as Underdog
27.0%
5
Longest Win Streak
7
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1511 (2013)
Peak Rating
1563 (2019)
3W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
4W-5L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

42.1% 26.7% 31.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 24 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 1
FIFA World Cup
D 10 Aug 10 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly
H 24 Jan 00 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.1%
0 - 1
9.2%
2 - 1
8.7%
0 - 0
8.1%
2 - 0
7.6%