Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Bosnia and Herzegovina
37.7% win probability
Predicted winner
27.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.27 - 1.22
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 45%
Total goals
VS

North Macedonia

1391#112
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

37.7% 27.0% 35.2%
BIH
MKD
16
Rating Gap
1.27
Exp. Goals BIH
1.22
Exp. Goals MKD
64.7%
BIH No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 2W/1W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2/10, North Macedonia 1/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 2.71 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 45%).

Rating Trajectory +41 pts

Bosnia and Herzegovina are gaining momentum recently (+41 pts). North Macedonia have moved -29 pts in the same window.

Penalty Shootouts 75% PSO

Shootout record: Bosnia and Herzegovina: 3W-1L; North Macedonia: 0W-0L. Edge goes to Bosnia and Herzegovina if this match reaches penalties.

Rating Gap 16 pts

Bosnia and Herzegovina hold a 16-point rating edge: roughly 2.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
BIH Win
1
Draws
0
MKD Win
0
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
101
Games Played
78
32.7%
Win %
37.2%
1.27
Goals Per Game
1.33
1.35
Goals Against / Game
1.35
31.7%
Clean Sheet %
33.3%
32.7%
Failed to Score %
28.2%
10.9%
Goalless Draws %
7.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,407
Current Rating
1,391
#99
World Ranking
#112
58.1%
Win as Favourite
61.9%
20.3%
Win as Underdog
8.3%
5
Longest Win Streak
6
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1511 (2013)
Peak Rating
1438 (2020)
3W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

37.7% 27.0% 35.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 29 May 26 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.5%
0 - 1
10.1%
0 - 0
8.3%
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
7.8%