Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Congo Democratic Republic
92.7% win probability
Predicted winner
6.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.15 - 3.00
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.1
Over 2.5: 61%
Total goals

Bermuda

1323#169
CONCACAF
VS
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

0.9% 6.5% 92.7%
BER
COD
205
Rating Gap
0.15
Exp. Goals BER
3.00
Exp. Goals COD
7.4%
BER No Defeat
3.1
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 205 pts

Congo Democratic Republic hold a 205-point rating edge: roughly 30.8% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 2W/7W

Congo Democratic Republic won 7 of their last 10 games; Bermuda won 2. Current form favours Congo Democratic Republic.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Tournament Pedigree 2015

Both teams are major tournament winners. Bermuda's most recent title: 2013. Congo Democratic Republic's most recent title: 2015.

Goal Patterns 3.2 xG

Combined avg of 2.95 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.2 (Over 2.5 probability: 61%).

Underdog Record 20% W

Bermuda have won 20% of games entering as underdogs (25W from 123). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
BER Win
0
Draws
1
COD Win
0
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
82
Games Played
135
30.5%
Win %
43.7%
1.63
Goals Per Game
1.34
2.13
Goals Against / Game
0.89
23.2%
Clean Sheet %
37.8%
26.8%
Failed to Score %
25.2%
6.1%
Goalless Draws %
8.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,323
Current Rating
1,529
#169
World Ranking
#24
51.0%
Win as Favourite
51.8%
20.3%
Win as Underdog
21.7%
4
Longest Win Streak
5
10
Longest Unbeaten Run
12
1456 (2015)
Peak Rating
1529 (2026)
0W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
5W-5L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

0.9% 6.5% 92.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 25 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
19.3%
0 - 3
19.3%
0 - 4
14.4%
0 - 1
12.8%
0 - 5
8.7%
0 - 0
4.3%