Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Benin
40.2% win probability
Predicted winner
27.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.28 - 1.12
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 43%
Total goals

Benin

1396#108
CAF
VS

Liberia

1368#140
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

40.2% 27.6% 32.2%
BEN
LBR
29
Rating Gap
1.28
Exp. Goals BEN
1.12
Exp. Goals LBR
67.8%
BEN No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 1.84 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 43%).

Unbeaten Run 13 games

Liberia's longest unbeaten run is 13 games vs Benin's 8. Liberia have shown greater resilience historically.

Rating Gap 29 pts

Benin hold a 29-point rating edge: roughly 4.3% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Penalty Shootouts 67% PSO

Shootout record: Benin: 4W-2L; Liberia: 0W-1L. Edge goes to Benin if this match reaches penalties.

Recent Form 3W/3W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Benin 3/10, Liberia 3/10. A closely contested match is expected.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 1987-2026

2
BEN Win
1
Draws
0
LBR Win
5
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
96
Games Played
77
32.3%
Win %
27.3%
1.02
Goals Per Game
0.86
1.17
Goals Against / Game
1.44
29.2%
Clean Sheet %
22.1%
31.2%
Failed to Score %
44.2%
7.3%
Goalless Draws %
5.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,396
Current Rating
1,368
#108
World Ranking
#140
43.0%
Win as Favourite
41.9%
16.8%
Win as Underdog
22.7%
3
Longest Win Streak
5
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
13
1442 (2021)
Peak Rating
1457 (2001)
4W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

40.2% 27.6% 32.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 27 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
Friendly
A 24 Mar 22 NEUTRAL
0 - 4
Friendly
D 03 Feb 87 AWAY
0 - 0
CSSA Nations Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
10.2%
0 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
8.3%
2 - 0
7.5%