Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Austria
39.2% win probability
Predicted winner
25.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.41 - 1.32
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

Austria

1509#35
UEFA
VS

Tunisia

1479#41
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

39.2% 25.6% 35.2%
AUT
TUN
30
Rating Gap
1.41
Exp. Goals AUT
1.32
Exp. Goals TUN
64.8%
AUT No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 8W/3W

Austria won 8 of their last 10 games; Tunisia won 3. Current form favours Austria.

H2H Dominance 3W-0W

Austria hold the historical edge: 3W-2D-0L across 5 meetings.

Clean Sheet Rate 12pp

Tunisia keep 37.2% clean sheets vs Austria's 25.0%, a 12pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.21 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

Win Streak 3 games

Austria are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Tournament Pedigree 2010

Both teams are major tournament winners. Austria's most recent title: 1931. Tunisia's most recent title: 2010.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

5 meeting(s) · 1972-2026

3
AUT Win
2
Draws
0
TUN Win
9
Goals For
5
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
112
Games Played
145
53.6%
Win %
51.0%
1.69
Goals Per Game
1.39
1.03
Goals Against / Game
0.81
33.0%
Clean Sheet %
47.6%
21.4%
Failed to Score %
31.0%
4.5%
Goalless Draws %
11.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,509
Current Rating
1,479
#35
World Ranking
#41
57.8%
Win as Favourite
50.6%
28.9%
Win as Underdog
31.2%
7
Longest Win Streak
7
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
12
1531 (2024)
Peak Rating
1553 (2022)
1W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
10W-7L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

39.2% 25.6% 35.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 01 Jun 26 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly
D 21 Nov 07 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly
H 27 May 98 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly
A 07 Feb 87 AWAY
1 - 3
Friendly
D 20 Feb 72 AWAY
3 - 3
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.2%
0 - 1
8.6%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.0%
0 - 0
6.5%