Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

South Korea
53.5% win probability
Predicted winner
23.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.08 - 1.77
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Total goals

Austria

1509#35
UEFA
VS

South Korea

1544#16
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

23.1% 23.4% 53.5%
AUT
KOR
35
Rating Gap
1.08
Exp. Goals AUT
1.77
Exp. Goals KOR
46.5%
AUT No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 3.57 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 54%).

Clean Sheet Rate 21pp

South Korea keep 46.3% clean sheets vs Austria's 25.0%, a 21pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 8W/6W

Austria won 8 of their last 10 games; South Korea won 6. Current form favours Austria.

Win Streak 3 games

Austria are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Tournament Pedigree 2018

Both teams are major tournament winners. Austria's most recent title: 1931. South Korea's most recent title: 2018.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
AUT Win
0
Draws
0
KOR Win
1
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
112
Games Played
151
53.6%
Win %
57.6%
1.69
Goals Per Game
1.83
1.03
Goals Against / Game
0.86
33.0%
Clean Sheet %
53.0%
21.4%
Failed to Score %
19.9%
4.5%
Goalless Draws %
9.9%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,509
Current Rating
1,544
#35
World Ranking
#16
57.8%
Win as Favourite
57.5%
28.9%
Win as Underdog
37.5%
7
Longest Win Streak
12
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
33
1531 (2024)
Peak Rating
1610 (1978)
1W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
15W-13L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

23.1% 23.4% 53.5%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 Mar 26 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 2
9.1%
1 - 0
6.2%
2 - 1
6.0%