Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Austria
43.5% win probability
Predicted winner
25.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.47 - 1.20
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Total goals

Austria

1514#30
UEFA
VS

Jordan

1473#42
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

43.5% 25.7% 30.8%
AUT
JOR
42
Rating Gap
1.47
Exp. Goals AUT
1.20
Exp. Goals JOR
69.2%
AUT No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 7W/4W

Austria won 7 of their last 10 games; Jordan won 4. Current form favours Austria.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 12pp

Jordan keep 37.2% clean sheets vs Austria's 25.0%, a 12pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

12.7% of Jordan's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.09 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).

Tournament Pedigree 1999

Both teams are major tournament winners. Austria's most recent title: 1931. Jordan's most recent title: 1999.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
AUT Win
0
Draws
0
JOR Win
3
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
114
Games Played
159
53.5%
Win %
43.4%
1.68
Goals Per Game
1.58
1.04
Goals Against / Game
1.07
32.5%
Clean Sheet %
43.4%
21.9%
Failed to Score %
29.6%
4.4%
Goalless Draws %
13.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,514
Current Rating
1,473
#30
World Ranking
#42
57.8%
Win as Favourite
46.7%
29.0%
Win as Underdog
27.1%
7
Longest Win Streak
5
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
14
1531 (2024)
Peak Rating
1545 (2004)
1W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
4W-6L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

43.5% 25.7% 30.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 16 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.0%
0 - 1
8.3%
2 - 0
7.5%
1 - 2
7.3%