Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Australia
57.2% win probability
Predicted winner
24.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.65 - 0.81
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 45%
Total goals

Australia

1561#11
AFC
VS

Cameroon

1490#41
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

57.2% 24.4% 18.4%
AUS
CMR
70
Rating Gap
1.65
Exp. Goals AUS
0.81
Exp. Goals CMR
81.6%
AUS No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 3.41 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 45%).

Recent Form 7W/5W

Australia won 7 of their last 10 games; Cameroon won 5. Current form favours Australia.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

13.2% of Cameroon's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Rating Gap 70 pts

Australia hold a 70-point rating edge: roughly 10.6% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Tournament Pedigree 2015

Both teams are major tournament winners. Australia's most recent title: 2013. Cameroon's most recent title: 2015.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2017-2026

1
AUS Win
1
Draws
0
CMR Win
2
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
119
Games Played
144
61.3%
Win %
40.3%
2.13
Goals Per Game
1.16
0.77
Goals Against / Game
0.87
49.6%
Clean Sheet %
41.7%
16.8%
Failed to Score %
31.9%
5.9%
Goalless Draws %
15.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,561
Current Rating
1,490
#11
World Ranking
#41
59.6%
Win as Favourite
49.7%
31.5%
Win as Underdog
28.7%
14
Longest Win Streak
7
20
Longest Unbeaten Run
16
1586 (2001)
Peak Rating
1575 (2002)
5W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
9W-13L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

57.2% 24.4% 18.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 27 Mar 26 AWAY
1 - 0
FIFA Series
D 22 Jun 17 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
FIFA Confederations Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
14.1%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
0 - 0
8.5%
0 - 1
6.9%