Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Aruba
91.9% win probability
Predicted winner
7.2%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.88 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 58%
Total goals

Aruba

1352#148
CONCACAF
VS

Liechtenstein

1183#218
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

91.9% 7.2% 1.0%
ARU
LIE
169
Rating Gap
2.88
Exp. Goals ARU
0.15
Exp. Goals LIE
99.1%
ARU No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 4W/1W

Aruba won 4 of their last 10 games; Liechtenstein won 1. Current form favours Aruba.

Rating Gap 169 pts

Aruba hold a 169-point rating edge: roughly 25.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 3.0 xG

Combined avg of 1.64 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.0 (Over 2.5 probability: 58%).

Underdog Record 6% W

Liechtenstein have won 6% of games entering as underdogs (14W from 244). A strong record against the odds.

When Favourite 34% W

Aruba win 34% of games when entering as the favoured side (13W from 38). Reliable frontrunners.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
ARU Win
0
Draws
0
LIE Win
4
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
57
Games Played
95
22.8%
Win %
6.3%
1.21
Goals Per Game
0.35
2.35
Goals Against / Game
2.75
12.3%
Clean Sheet %
8.4%
45.6%
Failed to Score %
72.6%
7.0%
Goalless Draws %
4.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,352
Current Rating
1,183
#148
World Ranking
#218
34.2%
Win as Favourite
37.5%
15.6%
Win as Underdog
5.7%
4
Longest Win Streak
2
5
Longest Unbeaten Run
3
1390 (1989)
Peak Rating
1335 (1993)
2W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

91.9% 7.2% 1.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 29 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
4 - 1
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
20.1%
3 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
13.9%
4 - 0
13.8%
5 - 0
8.0%
0 - 0
4.8%