Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Argentina
96.1% win probability
Predicted winner
3.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
3.71 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.9
Over 2.5: 74%
Total goals

Argentina

1633#1
CONMEBOL
VS

Zambia

1350#149
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

96.1% 3.5% 0.4%
ARG
ZAM
283
Rating Gap
3.71
Exp. Goals ARG
0.15
Exp. Goals ZAM
99.6%
ARG No Defeat
3.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Win Streak 10 games

Argentina are currently on a 10-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Rating Gap 283 pts

Argentina hold a 283-point rating edge: roughly 42.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 10W/0W

Argentina won 10 of their last 10 games; Zambia won 0. Current form favours Argentina.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 3.9 xG

Combined avg of 3.43 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 74%).

Tournament Pedigree 2023

Both teams are major tournament winners. Argentina's most recent title: 2023. Zambia's most recent title: 2023.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
ARG Win
0
Draws
0
ZAM Win
5
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
131
Games Played
153
68.7%
Win %
35.3%
2.02
Goals Per Game
1.21
0.64
Goals Against / Game
1.29
60.3%
Clean Sheet %
28.8%
12.2%
Failed to Score %
32.7%
5.3%
Goalless Draws %
10.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,633
Current Rating
1,350
#1
World Ranking
#149
60.1%
Win as Favourite
48.3%
36.7%
Win as Underdog
27.1%
10
Longest Win Streak
7
36
Longest Unbeaten Run
17
1640 (2024)
Peak Rating
1544 (1994)
12W-11L
Penalty Shootouts
19W-17L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

96.1% 3.5% 0.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 Mar 26 AWAY
5 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
3 - 0
17.9%
4 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
14.5%
5 - 0
12.3%
1 - 0
7.8%
3 - 1
2.7%