Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Argentina
95.5% win probability
Predicted winner
4.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
3.56 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.7
Over 2.5: 72%
Total goals

Argentina

1598#3
CONMEBOL
VS

Mauritania

1374#129
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

95.5% 4.0% 0.5%
ARG
MTN
224
Rating Gap
3.56
Exp. Goals ARG
0.15
Exp. Goals MTN
99.5%
ARG No Defeat
3.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Win Streak 7 games

Argentina are currently on a 7-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Rating Gap 224 pts

Argentina hold a 224-point rating edge: roughly 33.5% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 8W/2W

Argentina won 8 of their last 10 games; Mauritania won 2. Current form favours Argentina.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 10pp

Argentina keep 39.0% clean sheets vs Mauritania's 29.3%, a 10pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2023

Argentina have a major tournament title to their name; Mauritania do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
ARG Win
0
Draws
0
MTN Win
2
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
128
Games Played
127
68.0%
Win %
32.3%
2.01
Goals Per Game
0.77
0.65
Goals Against / Game
1.09
60.2%
Clean Sheet %
41.7%
12.5%
Failed to Score %
46.5%
5.5%
Goalless Draws %
17.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,598
Current Rating
1,374
#3
World Ranking
#129
60.0%
Win as Favourite
50.0%
36.7%
Win as Underdog
15.2%
9
Longest Win Streak
4
36
Longest Unbeaten Run
15
1640 (2024)
Peak Rating
1453 (2023)
12W-11L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

95.5% 4.0% 0.5%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 28 Mar 26 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
3 - 0
18.4%
4 - 0
16.4%
2 - 0
15.5%
5 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
8.7%
3 - 1
2.8%