Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Argentina
88.4% win probability
Predicted winner
10.2%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.47 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Total goals

Argentina

1641#3
CONMEBOL
VS

Cabo Verde

1475#38
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

88.4% 10.2% 1.4%
ARG
CPV
166
Rating Gap
2.47
Exp. Goals ARG
0.15
Exp. Goals CPV
98.6%
ARG No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Win Streak 12 games

Argentina are currently on a 12-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Recent Form 10W/2W

Argentina won 10 of their last 10 games; Cabo Verde won 2. Current form favours Argentina.

Rating Gap 166 pts

Argentina hold a 166-point rating edge: roughly 24.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Tournament Pedigree 2023

Argentina have a major tournament title to their name; Cabo Verde do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goalless Draw Risk 14% 0-0

14.3% of Cabo Verde's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
ARG Win
0
Draws
0
CPV Win
3
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
133
Games Played
95
69.2%
Win %
40.0%
2.04
Goals Per Game
1.15
0.66
Goals Against / Game
1.02
59.4%
Clean Sheet %
38.9%
12.0%
Failed to Score %
36.8%
5.3%
Goalless Draws %
13.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,641
Current Rating
1,475
#3
World Ranking
#38
60.1%
Win as Favourite
53.8%
37.1%
Win as Underdog
25.5%
12
Longest Win Streak
3
36
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1641 (2026)
Peak Rating
1489 (2024)
12W-11L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

88.4% 10.2% 1.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 03 Jul 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 2
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
22.2%
3 - 0
18.3%
1 - 0
17.9%
4 - 0
11.3%
0 - 0
7.3%
5 - 0
5.6%