Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Angola
86.7% win probability
Predicted winner
10.9%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.51 - 0.24
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Total goals

Angola

1460#56
CAF
VS
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

86.7% 10.9% 2.3%
ANG
CTA
147
Rating Gap
2.51
Exp. Goals ANG
0.24
Exp. Goals CTA
97.6%
ANG No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 4W-1W

Angola hold the historical edge: 4W-0D-1L across 5 meetings.

Rating Gap 147 pts

Angola hold a 147-point rating edge: roughly 22.0% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Clean Sheet Rate 20pp

Angola keep 37.8% clean sheets vs Central African Republic's 17.7%, a 20pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 3W/1W

Angola won 3 of their last 10 games; Central African Republic won 1. Current form favours Angola.

Tournament Pedigree 2025

Angola have a major tournament title to their name; Central African Republic do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goalless Draw Risk 15% 0-0

14.9% of Angola's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

5 meeting(s) · 2015-2026

4
ANG Win
0
Draws
1
CTA Win
12
Goals For
5
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
131
Games Played
71
38.9%
Win %
25.4%
1.21
Goals Per Game
1.07
0.92
Goals Against / Game
1.75
38.2%
Clean Sheet %
19.7%
34.4%
Failed to Score %
40.8%
16.0%
Goalless Draws %
7.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,460
Current Rating
1,313
#56
World Ranking
#177
48.2%
Win as Favourite
31.2%
24.0%
Win as Underdog
20.6%
8
Longest Win Streak
3
15
Longest Unbeaten Run
4
1507 (2025)
Peak Rating
1402 (1999)
11W-6L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

86.7% 10.9% 2.3%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 09 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
Friendly
A 17 Jun 23 NEUTRAL
1 - 2
Africa Cup of Nations
H 01 Jun 22 AWAY
2 - 1
Africa Cup of Nations
H 05 Jun 16 AWAY
3 - 1
Africa Cup of Nations
H 13 Jun 15 AWAY
4 - 0
Africa Cup of Nations

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
20.1%
3 - 0
16.8%
1 - 0
16.0%
4 - 0
10.5%
0 - 0
6.4%
5 - 0
5.3%