Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Andorra
54.2% win probability
Predicted winner
25.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.60 - 0.88
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 45%
Total goals

Andorra

1252#212
UEFA
VS

Liechtenstein

1183#218
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

54.2% 25.0% 20.7%
AND
LIE
70
Rating Gap
1.60
Exp. Goals AND
0.88
Exp. Goals LIE
79.2%
AND No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 4W-1W

Andorra hold the historical edge: 4W-0D-1L across 5 meetings.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 0.74 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 45%).

Rating Gap 70 pts

Andorra hold a 70-point rating edge: roughly 10.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 6% W

Liechtenstein have won 6% of games entering as underdogs (14W from 244). A strong record against the odds.

When Favourite 53% W

Andorra win 53% of games when entering as the favoured side (8W from 15). Reliable frontrunners.

Recent Form 1W/1W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Andorra 1/10, Liechtenstein 1/10. A closely contested match is expected.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

5 meeting(s) · 2012-2026

4
AND Win
0
Draws
1
LIE Win
7
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
99
Games Played
95
12.1%
Win %
6.3%
0.40
Goals Per Game
0.35
1.75
Goals Against / Game
2.75
25.3%
Clean Sheet %
8.4%
69.7%
Failed to Score %
72.6%
14.1%
Goalless Draws %
4.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,252
Current Rating
1,183
#212
World Ranking
#218
53.3%
Win as Favourite
37.5%
3.2%
Win as Underdog
5.7%
2
Longest Win Streak
2
5
Longest Unbeaten Run
3
1291 (2022)
Peak Rating
1335 (1993)
0W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

54.2% 25.0% 20.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 04 Jun 26 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly
A 22 Sep 22 AWAY
0 - 2
UEFA Nations League
H 10 Jun 22 AWAY
2 - 1
UEFA Nations League
H 21 Mar 18 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
Friendly
H 14 Aug 12 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.4%
0 - 0
8.4%
0 - 1
7.4%