Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Pakistan
39.6% win probability
Predicted winner
26.9%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.19 - 1.32
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 46%
Total goals

Afghanistan

1284#197
AFC
VS

Pakistan

1304#184
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

33.5% 26.9% 39.6%
AFG
PAK
20
Rating Gap
1.19
Exp. Goals AFG
1.32
Exp. Goals PAK
60.4%
AFG No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 6W-2W

Pakistan hold the historical edge: 6W-2D-2L across 10 meetings.

Recent Form 1W/3W

Pakistan won 3 of their last 10 games; Afghanistan won 1. Current form favours Pakistan.

Win Streak 3 games

Pakistan are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 1.91 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 46%).

Tournament Pedigree 2013

Both teams are major tournament winners. Afghanistan's most recent title: 2013. Pakistan's most recent title: 1991.

Rating Trajectory +41 pts

Pakistan are gaining momentum recently (+41 pts). Afghanistan have moved -41 pts in the same window.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

10 meeting(s) · 1976-2026

2
AFG Win
2
Draws
6
PAK Win
6
Goals For
10
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
80
Games Played
43
20.0%
Win %
16.3%
0.72
Goals Per Game
0.53
1.85
Goals Against / Game
2.28
20.0%
Clean Sheet %
20.9%
42.5%
Failed to Score %
62.8%
10.0%
Goalless Draws %
7.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,284
Current Rating
1,304
#197
World Ranking
#184
38.4%
Win as Favourite
46.4%
6.8%
Win as Underdog
15.2%
5
Longest Win Streak
3
7
Longest Unbeaten Run
4
1435 (2014)
Peak Rating
1390 (1982)
0W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

33.5% 26.9% 39.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 10 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 0
Friendly Tournament
A 07 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 2
Friendly Tournament
D 14 Oct 25 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
AFC Asian Cup
D 09 Oct 25 AWAY
0 - 0
AFC Asian Cup
H 06 Feb 15 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly
H 20 Aug 13 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly
H 09 Dec 05 AWAY
1 - 0
SAFF Championship
H 14 Jan 03 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
SAFF Championship
H 12 Oct 76 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly Tournament
H 19 Jul 76 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
9.7%
1 - 2
8.4%
0 - 0
8.2%
2 - 1
7.6%