Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Myanmar
48.0% win probability
Predicted winner
25.2%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.10 - 1.56
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Total goals

Afghanistan

1295#188
AFC
VS

Myanmar

1331#161
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

26.8% 25.2% 48.0%
AFG
MYA
36
Rating Gap
1.10
Exp. Goals AFG
1.56
Exp. Goals MYA
52.0%
AFG No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 0W/5W

Myanmar won 5 of their last 10 games; Afghanistan won 0. Current form favours Myanmar.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Tournament Pedigree 2013

Both teams are major tournament winners. Afghanistan's most recent title: 2013. Myanmar's most recent title: 2006.

Underdog Record 7% W

Afghanistan have won 7% of games entering as underdogs (5W from 73). A strong record against the odds.

Rating Trajectory +50 pts

Myanmar are gaining momentum recently (+50 pts). Afghanistan have moved -43 pts in the same window.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 2.23 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2025-2026

0
AFG Win
0
Draws
2
MYA Win
2
Goals For
4
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
77
Games Played
106
19.5%
Win %
25.5%
0.74
Goals Per Game
0.99
1.87
Goals Against / Game
2.48
19.5%
Clean Sheet %
20.8%
41.6%
Failed to Score %
46.2%
10.4%
Goalless Draws %
8.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,295
Current Rating
1,331
#188
World Ranking
#161
38.6%
Win as Favourite
63.3%
6.8%
Win as Underdog
16.0%
5
Longest Win Streak
6
7
Longest Unbeaten Run
8
1435 (2014)
Peak Rating
1414 (2010)
0W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

26.8% 25.2% 48.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 26 Mar 26 AWAY
1 - 2
AFC Asian Cup
H 25 Mar 25 AWAY
2 - 1
AFC Asian Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 2
8.5%
1 - 0
7.7%
0 - 0
7.0%