Notable Events
2nd 3-2 involving United States Virgin Islands 2nd
5th game for Bahamas in Upper Bethlehem 5th
20th game played in Upper Bethlehem 20th
5th game for Bahamas at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium 5th
20th game played at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium 20th
4th 2-3 involving Bahamas 4th
5th meeting between Bahamas and United States Virgin Islands 5th
2nd 2-3 involving Bahamas in the CONCACAF Nations League 2nd
17th game for United States Virgin Islands at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium 17th
17th time the score was 2-3 in the CONCACAF Nations League 17th

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
28 / 100 Low
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A modest contest. Some context on the line, but well short of a marquee match.

Rating Impact

Bahamas ▼ -6.4
Before
1229
After
1223
Win expected: 31%
Before
1295
After
1302
Win expected: 69%
Pre-Match Win Probability
31%
69%
Bahamas United States Virgin Islands

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

United States Virgin Islands77.9% probabilityModel pick
CorrectActual: United States Virgin IslandsVerdict
0.57 - 2.39Actual: 2 - 3Expected score
0.070 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Bahamas Draw United States Virgin Islands
7% 15% 78%
Over 2.5 goals
57
Both teams to score
40
Tournament
Phase
Group Stages
Region / Zone
League C
Stage
Group 3 / C
Venue
Bethlehem Soccer StadiumUnited States Virgin Islands
US Virgin Islands

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Bahamas and United States Virgin Islands prior to this game.

H 29 Sep 26
3 - 1
CONCACAF Nations League
H 12 Oct 24
3 - 1
CONCACAF Nations League