Notable Events
79th 1-1 involving Kenya 79th
88th game played at Nyayo National Stadium 88th
192nd game for Kenya in Nairobi 192nd
11th meeting between Eritrea and Kenya 11th
295th game played in Nairobi 295th
4th game for Eritrea at Nyayo National Stadium 4th
8th game for Eritrea in Nairobi 8th
52nd game for Kenya at Nyayo National Stadium 52nd
8th 1-1 involving Eritrea 8th

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
43 / 100 Medium
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A meaningful match - competitive opponents, a stage worth the trip, but not on the elite shelf.

Rating Impact

Kenya ▼ -1.4
Before
1402
After
1400
Win expected: 59%
Eritrea ▲ +1.4
Before
1406
After
1407
Win expected: 41%
Pre-Match Win Probability
59%
41%
Kenya Eritrea

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Kenya51.5% probabilityModel pick
MissedActual: DrawVerdict
1.71 - 1.11Actual: 1 - 1Expected score
0.020 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Kenya Draw Eritrea
52% 24% 25%
Over 2.5 goals
54
Both teams to score
55
Tournament
Competition
Africa Cup of Nations
Edition
2027
Phase
Qualifiers
Stage
Group 4 / D

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Kenya and Eritrea prior to this game.

A 17 Dec 19
1 - 4
CECAFA Nations Cup
H 16 Jun 07
1 - 0
Africa Cup of Nations