Notable Events
3rd game for Belgium in Seattle 3rd
13th game for United States of America in Seattle 13th
8th meeting between Belgium and United States of America 8th
9th time the score was 1-4 in the FIFA World Cup 9th
13th 4-1 involving Belgium 13th
10th 1-4 involving United States of America 10th
1st 1-4 involving United States of America in the FIFA World Cup 1st
28th game played in Seattle 28th

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
78 / 100 Marquee
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A marquee match. High stakes, well-matched rivals, and the kind of stage that elevates a fixture into the top tier.

Rating Impact

Before
1527
After
1505
Win expected: 55%
Belgium ▲ +22.4
Before
1565
After
1587
Win expected: 45%
Pre-Match Win Probability
55%
45%
United States of America Belgium

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

United States of America43.5% probabilityModel pick
MissedActual: BelgiumVerdict
1.57 - 1.31Actual: 1 - 4Expected score
0.440 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
United States of America Draw Belgium
44% 25% 32%
Over 2.5 goals
55
Both teams to score
58
Tournament
Competition
FIFA World Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Knockout Stages
Stage
Round of 16
Venue
USA

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between United States of America and Belgium prior to this game.

A 28 Mar 26 AWAY
2 - 5
Friendly
H 01 Jul 14 AWAY
2 - 1
FIFA World Cup