Game
Portugal
Portugal
POR
1587Rating
2 - 1
HT 0 - 0
Croatia
Croatia
CRO
1527Rating
Notable Events
11th meeting between Croatia and Portugal 11th
114th time the score was 2-1 in the FIFA World Cup 114th
16th 1-2 involving Croatia 16th
50th 2-1 involving Portugal 50th
4th 2-1 involving Portugal in the FIFA World Cup 4th
82nd game played in Toronto 82nd
2nd game for Croatia in Toronto 2nd
2nd game for Portugal in Toronto 2nd

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
74 / 100 Marquee
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A marquee match. High stakes, well-matched rivals, and the kind of stage that elevates a fixture into the top tier.

Rating Impact

Portugal ▲ +11.3
Before
1587
After
1598
Win expected: 59%
Croatia ▼ -11.3
Before
1527
After
1516
Win expected: 41%
Pre-Match Win Probability
59%
41%
Portugal Croatia

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Portugal51.4% probabilityModel pick
CorrectActual: PortugalVerdict
1.74 - 1.14Actual: 2 - 1Expected score
0.490 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Portugal Draw Croatia
51% 24% 25%
Over 2.5 goals
55
Both teams to score
56
Tournament
Competition
FIFA World Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Knockout Stages
Stage
Round of 32
Venue
CanadaNeutral Venue

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Portugal and Croatia prior to this game.

D 18 Nov 24 AWAY
1 - 1
UEFA Nations League
H 05 Sep 24 AWAY
2 - 1
UEFA Nations League