Game
Mexico
Mexico
MEX
1608Rating
2 - 0
HT 2 - 0
Ecuador
Ecuador
ECU
1519Rating
Notable Events
29th meeting between Ecuador and Mexico 29th
82nd time the score was 2-0 in the FIFA World Cup 82nd
36th 0-2 involving Ecuador 36th
93rd 2-0 involving Mexico 93rd
3rd 2-0 involving Mexico in the FIFA World Cup 3rd
254th game played in Mexico City 254th
2nd game for Ecuador in Mexico City 2nd
196th game for Mexico in Mexico City 196th

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
60 / 100 Medium
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A meaningful match - competitive opponents, a stage worth the trip, but not on the elite shelf.

Rating Impact

Mexico ▲ +9.8
Before
1608
After
1618
Win expected: 71%
Ecuador ▼ -9.8
Before
1519
After
1509
Win expected: 29%
Pre-Match Win Probability
71%
29%
Mexico Ecuador

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Mexico85.8% probabilityModel pick
CorrectActual: MexicoVerdict
2.56 - 0.32Actual: 2 - 0Expected score
0.140 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Mexico Draw Ecuador
86% 11% 3%
Over 2.5 goals
55
Both teams to score
25
Tournament
Competition
FIFA World Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Knockout Stages
Stage
Round of 32
Venue
Mexico

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Mexico and Ecuador prior to this game.

D 14 Oct 25 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly
D 30 Jun 24 AWAY
0 - 0
Copa América