Game
Ecuador
Ecuador
ECU
1504Rating
2 - 1
HT 1 - 1
Germany
Germany
GER
1574Rating
Notable Events
78th game played in East Rutherford 78th
18th game for Ecuador in East Rutherford 18th
2nd game for Germany in East Rutherford 2nd
3rd meeting between Ecuador and Germany 3rd
110th time the score was 2-1 in the FIFA World Cup 110th
40th 2-1 involving Ecuador 40th
20th 1-2 involving Germany 20th
1st 2-1 involving Ecuador in the FIFA World Cup 1st

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
69 / 100 Medium
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A meaningful match - competitive opponents, a stage worth the trip, but not on the elite shelf.

Rating Impact

Ecuador ▲ +14.7
Before
1504
After
1519
Win expected: 40%
Germany ▼ -14.7
Before
1574
After
1560
Win expected: 60%
Pre-Match Win Probability
40%
60%
Ecuador Germany

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Germany54.7% probabilityModel pick
MissedActual: EcuadorVerdict
1.07 - 1.81Actual: 2 - 1Expected score
0.780 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Ecuador Draw Germany
22% 23% 55%
Over 2.5 goals
55
Both teams to score
55
Tournament
Competition
FIFA World Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Group Stages
Stage
Group 5 / E
Venue
USANeutral Venue

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Ecuador and Germany prior to this game.

A 29 May 13 AWAY
2 - 4
Friendly
H 20 Jun 06 AWAY
3 - 0
FIFA World Cup