Notable Events
87th game played in Houston 87th
1st game for Netherlands in Houston 1st
1st game for Sweden in Houston 1st
26th meeting between Netherlands and Sweden 26th
6th time the score was 5-1 in the FIFA World Cup 6th
8th 5-1 involving Netherlands 8th
6th 1-5 involving Sweden 6th
2nd 5-1 involving Netherlands in the FIFA World Cup 2nd

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
66 / 100 Medium
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A meaningful match - competitive opponents, a stage worth the trip, but not on the elite shelf.

Rating Impact

Netherlands ▲ +15.9
Before
1540
After
1556
Win expected: 60%
Sweden ▼ -15.9
Before
1468
After
1452
Win expected: 40%
Pre-Match Win Probability
60%
40%
Netherlands Sweden

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Netherlands55.5% probabilityModel pick
CorrectActual: NetherlandsVerdict
1.83 - 1.05Actual: 5 - 1Expected score
0.450 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Netherlands Draw Sweden
55% 23% 22%
Over 2.5 goals
55
Both teams to score
55
Tournament
Competition
FIFA World Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Group Stages
Stage
Group 6 / F
Venue
USANeutral Venue

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Netherlands and Sweden prior to this game.

H 10 Oct 17 AWAY
2 - 0
FIFA World Cup
D 06 Sep 16 AWAY
1 - 1
FIFA World Cup