Notable Events
1st game for Mexico in Zapopan 1st
2nd game for South Korea in Zapopan 2nd
15th meeting between Mexico and South Korea 15th
124th time the score was 1-0 in the FIFA World Cup 124th
125th 1-0 involving Mexico 125th
69th 0-1 involving South Korea 69th
4th 1-0 involving Mexico in the FIFA World Cup 4th
4th game played in Zapopan 4th

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
65 / 100 Medium
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A meaningful match - competitive opponents, a stage worth the trip, but not on the elite shelf.

Rating Impact

Mexico ▲ +11.0
Before
1583
After
1594
Win expected: 64%
South Korea ▼ -11.0
Before
1550
After
1539
Win expected: 36%
Pre-Match Win Probability
64%
36%
Mexico South Korea

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Mexico66.5% probabilityModel pick
CorrectActual: MexicoVerdict
2.07 - 0.81Actual: 1 - 0Expected score
0.330 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Mexico Draw South Korea
67% 20% 14%
Over 2.5 goals
55
Both teams to score
49
Tournament
Competition
FIFA World Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Group Stages
Stage
Group 1 / A
Venue
Mexico

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Mexico and South Korea prior to this game.

D 09 Sep 25 AWAY
2 - 2
Friendly
H 14 Nov 20 AWAY
3 - 2
Friendly